It’s a battle of NFC North teams on the gridiron as they collide looking to improve their playoff standing as they met up in the Land of 10,000 Lakes. The Green Bay Packers are on the road as they take on the Minnesota Vikings Sunday afternoon. Green Bay comes in off a 34-0 whipping of New Orleans in their previous game on Monday Night Football, covering the line as a 14-point favorite. Minnesota downed Seattle 27-24 on the road in their previous game last Sunday, covering the line as a 2.5-point favorite. In the all-time regular season series, the Packers own a 65-58-3 advantage though the Vikings picked up a 31-29 road win in the first matchup September 29.
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Packers Trying to Earn Season Split
Green Bay rolled over New Orleans on Monday Night Football to earn their fifth win in six games. The Packers improved to 11-4 and stand third in the NFC North, two games behind Detroit and Minnesota for the top spot. They have clinched a wild card spot. Against New Orleans, Green Bay scored on their opening drive and led the rest of the way. The Packers were up 7-0 after one quarter, 21-0 at the half and 24-0 after three quarters as they rolled to the victory. Green Bay racked up a 404-196 edge in total offense, picked up 24 first downs while allowing 14 and controlled the clock by a 37:13 to 22:47 margin. For good measure, the Packers forced a pair of turnovers while not committing any in the game.
This season, the Packers are 12th in the league in passing offense with an average of 230.4 yards per game this season. Green Bay is 4th in the league in rushing offense as they grind out 147.3 yards per contest. The Packers are 7th in the league in scoring offense as they pile up an average of 27.5 points per game this year. Green Bay stands 6th in the league in scoring defense by giving up an average of 19.1 points a contest on the season. Jordan Love is 242 of 383 passing for 3,135 yards with 24 touchdown passes and 11 interceptions. He has 77 rushing yards plus a score while getting sacked 11 times. Malik Willis (30 of 41, 414 yards, three TD, 135 rush yards, TD) is the backup quarterback. Josh Jacobs leads the team in rushing with 278 carries for 1,216 yards plus 13 scores on the year. Emanuel Wilson (83 carries, 400 yards, two TD) and Chris Brooks (28 carries, 124 yards) have been involved in the run game as well. Jayden Reed (52 receptions, 803 yards, six TD) and Romeo Doubs (39 receptions, 543 yards, four TD) are the top two receiving options for the Packers this season. Jacobs (35 receptions, 340 yards, TD), Tucker Kraft (44 catches, 618 yards, seven TD), Christian Watson (29 grabs, 620 yards, two TD) and Dontayvion Wicks (30 grabs, 323 yards, five TD) are other options in the passing game. Brayden Narveson hit all 16 extra point attempts and was 12 of 17 on field goals with a long of 47 before getting cut. Brandon McManus is 27 of 27 on extra point attempts and 16 of 17 on field goal attempts with a long of 55 on the year.
The Packers have ruled out inebacker Quay Walker (ankle), safety Evan Williams (quad), tackle Andre Dillard (concussion protocol) and cornerback Jaire Alexander (knee) for this contest. Linebacker Ty’Ron Hopper (ankle), Watson (knee) and safety Javon Bullard (ankle) are each listed as questionable. Watch for updates on their status heading toward kickoff.
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Minnesota Battling for NFC North Top Spot
Minnesota won their eighth straight game as they held off Seattle on the road last week to keep rolling. The Vikings improved to 13-2 on the year and are tied with the Lions for the top spot in the NFC North, though the Lions own the tiebreaker based on the first head-to-head meeting. They have clinched a playoff spot and need a win here to keep their division title hopes alive. Against Seattle, Minnesota led 7-0 after the opening quarter, 17-14 at the half and 20-17 after three quarters only to trail 24-20 with 4:21 remaining. They promptly drove 70 yards in four plays to score the winning touchdown with 3:51 to go and Minnesota held on for the win. The Vikings were outgained 361-298, gave up 23 first downs while recording 19 while winning the time of possession by a 30:41 to 29:19 margin. They also forced the game’s lone two turnovers.
The Vikings are 8th in the league in passing offense as they average 235.3 yards per game through the air this season. Minnesota is 16th in the league in rushing offense as they average 111.1 yards per contest on the ground. The Vikings are 9th in the league in scoring offense by putting up 26.4 points per game this year. Minnesota has improved defensively as the season has gone on, ranking 3rd in scoring defense as they allow 18.4 points a contest. Sam Darnold is 310 of 461 passing for 3,776 yards with 32 touchdowns and 11 interceptions while adding 205 yards plus a score on the ground. He has been sacked 45 times. Nick Mullens (two of two, 38 yards) is the backup. Aaron Jones leads the run game for the Vikings with 233 carries for 1,046 yards plus five scores. Ty Chandler (51 carries, 175 yards) and Cam Akers (52 carries, 214 yards, TD) are valuable handcuffs in the ground game. Justin Jefferson leads the team with 92 receptions for 1,387 yards and 10 scores. Jalen Nailor (17 catches, 252 yards, five TD), Jones (42 grabs, 348 yards, two TD), Jordan Addison (56 receptions, 806 yards, eight TD) along with tight ends Johnny Mundt (18 catches, 135 yards, TD), T.J. Hockenson (34 grabs, 378 yards) and Josh Oliver (20 grabs, 242 yards, three TD) are valuable options. Will Reichard is 35 of 35 on extra point attempts and 19 of 22 on field goal attempts with a long of 58 this season. John Parker Romo is seven of eight on extra points and 11 of 12 on field goals with a long of 55.
Cornerback Fabian Moreau (hip) is out for this contest while linebacker Ivan Pace Jr. (hamstring) is questionable for this contest. Keep an eye on his status closer to kickoff.
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Best Bets for Green Bay Packers vs. Minnesota Vikings
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These teams battled to the wire in the first meeting with the Vikings earning a two-point victory at Lambeau Field. Both teams are going to the postseason and despite their records, likely will find themselves on the road in the opening week of the playoffs. Green Bay is going to have their work cut out for them defensively without Alexander as that will stress the pass defense with the trio of Jefferson, Addison and Hockenson at different levels. Minnesota won the first meeting this season and they have plenty at stake knowing that a loss would end their divisional playoff hopes. Playing at home, give the edge to the Vikings as they earn the victory here.
Prediction: Minnesota Vikings -112
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Green Bay has seen the under post an 8-6-1 mark in their 15 games on the season entering this game. The Packers have seen the over go 4-3 in their seven road games on the season. Minnesota has seen the under hit in nine of their 15 games on the season. The Vikings have stayed under the total in six of their eight home games this season with their lone overs coming in a two-point loss to the Lions and a 21-point win over the Falcons. In their seven home victories, the total fell under the number in six of those contests. We’ve seen the over hit in three of the last four meetings and with both teams dangerous offensively, this game winds up over the number as well.
Prediction: Over 48.5